Strong to severe storms possible later tonight
Tue, 20 May 2014 21:28:03 GMT —
We're monitoring the possibility for stronger storms late this evening and overnight.
By late afternoon Tuesday, a warm front had lifted across most of the NBC24 viewing area. With it...a very warm and humid air-mass settled into place.
The parent storm looks to move into lower Michigan overnight. That combined with some upper level energy should kick off some thunderstorms over sourthern Wisconsin and northern Illinois by early evening.
That area of thunderstorms should combine into a larger cluster as the evening moves along. As the cluster gets more organized, a strong/damaging wind threat begins to emerge as the complex moves to the east/southeast.
For Northwest Ohio and Southeast Michigan: a few pop-up, non-severe storms look possible as we move through this evening, but the bigger complex of storms looks to arrive after midnight.
Timing out the arrival will be difficult at first. Our initial thinking has it arriving around 1am into the OH/IN/MI border area, then continuing eastward crossing the area by 4am.
However...until the complex really begins to come together, banking on that timing just won't happen.
So as we move through the rest of our Tuesday evening, we'll be closely monitoring conditions and development back to our west.
The primary threats from the overnight cluster will be strong, potentially damaging winds. Tornadoes and large hail can't be ruled out...but they look less likely given the nature of the wind field aloft.
The NBC24 Weather Center will keep you posted. Make sure you follow us on our social media outlets for the lastest as the evening unfolds.